Mortality from cold waves in Castile--La Mancha, Spain.
Identifieur interne : 000477 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000476; suivant : 000478Mortality from cold waves in Castile--La Mancha, Spain.
Auteurs : J C Montero [Espagne] ; I J Mir N ; J J Criado-Álvarez ; C. Linares ; J. DíazSource :
- The Science of the total environment [ 1879-1026 ] ; 2010.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- MESH :
- effets indésirables : Basse température.
- Espagne, Humains, Mortalité, Saisons, Surveillance de l'environnement, Temps (météorologie).
- Wicri :
- geographic : Espagne.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- MESH :
- geographic : Spain.
- adverse effects : Cold Temperature.
- Environmental Monitoring, Humans, Mortality, Seasons, Weather.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION
As is known, the effects of extreme temperatures on mortality are characterised by an annual periodicity, with a rise centred in the winter months. The most recent epidemiological studies show that mortality caused by cold waves is, in many cases, comparable to that caused by the severest heat waves. This study sought to quantify the rise in mortality due to extreme cold and the factors that determine the relationship between these variables in Castile-La Mancha (Spain).
METHODS
We examined the effect of extreme winter temperature on daily non accidental cause mortality in Castile - La Mancha from 1975 to 2003, for all ages. Quantitative analyses were performed using ARIMA models, with other covariates, such as influenza, pressure trends, relative humidity, and cold wave duration and chronological number.
RESULTS
There were two mortality peaks: a short-term peak (with a lag of 3 to 7 days); and a longer term peak (of under two weeks). Excess mortality during cold waves was around 10% per degree centigrade below the threshold temperature for all the provinces except Guadalajara, where an increase of only 4.61% was detected. Mortality increased in response to rises in cold-wave duration and relative humidity. Cold waves occurring at the end of the "winter" season caused the greatest mortality.
CONCLUSIONS
This study confirms that daily mortality in Castile - La Mancha increases during cold waves. Efficient cold-wave prevention plans must therefore be implemented. Such plans should be based on in-depth knowledge of the causes that underlie and modulate the relationship between low temperatures and health effects.
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.07.086
PubMed: 20833411
Affiliations:
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Linares</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diaz, J" sort="Diaz, J" uniqKey="Diaz J" first="J" last="Díaz">J. 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Linares</name></author><author><name sortKey="Diaz, J" sort="Diaz, J" uniqKey="Diaz J" first="J" last="Díaz">J. Díaz</name></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The Science of the total environment</title><idno type="eISSN">1879-1026</idno><imprint><date when="2010" type="published">2010</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Cold Temperature (adverse effects)</term><term>Environmental Monitoring (MeSH)</term><term>Humans (MeSH)</term><term>Mortality (MeSH)</term><term>Seasons (MeSH)</term><term>Spain (MeSH)</term><term>Weather (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Basse température (effets indésirables)</term><term>Espagne (MeSH)</term><term>Humains (MeSH)</term><term>Mortalité (MeSH)</term><term>Saisons (MeSH)</term><term>Surveillance de l'environnement (MeSH)</term><term>Temps (météorologie) (MeSH)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" xml:lang="en"><term>Spain</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="adverse effects" xml:lang="en"><term>Cold Temperature</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="effets indésirables" xml:lang="fr"><term>Basse température</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Environmental Monitoring</term><term>Humans</term><term>Mortality</term><term>Seasons</term><term>Weather</term></keywords><keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="fr"><term>Espagne</term><term>Humains</term><term>Mortalité</term><term>Saisons</term><term>Surveillance de l'environnement</term><term>Temps (météorologie)</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Espagne</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>INTRODUCTION</b></p><p>As is known, the effects of extreme temperatures on mortality are characterised by an annual periodicity, with a rise centred in the winter months. The most recent epidemiological studies show that mortality caused by cold waves is, in many cases, comparable to that caused by the severest heat waves. This study sought to quantify the rise in mortality due to extreme cold and the factors that determine the relationship between these variables in Castile-La Mancha (Spain).</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>METHODS</b></p><p>We examined the effect of extreme winter temperature on daily non accidental cause mortality in Castile - La Mancha from 1975 to 2003, for all ages. Quantitative analyses were performed using ARIMA models, with other covariates, such as influenza, pressure trends, relative humidity, and cold wave duration and chronological number.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>RESULTS</b></p><p>There were two mortality peaks: a short-term peak (with a lag of 3 to 7 days); and a longer term peak (of under two weeks). Excess mortality during cold waves was around 10% per degree centigrade below the threshold temperature for all the provinces except Guadalajara, where an increase of only 4.61% was detected. Mortality increased in response to rises in cold-wave duration and relative humidity. Cold waves occurring at the end of the "winter" season caused the greatest mortality.</p></div><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p><b>CONCLUSIONS</b></p><p>This study confirms that daily mortality in Castile - La Mancha increases during cold waves. Efficient cold-wave prevention plans must therefore be implemented. Such plans should be based on in-depth knowledge of the causes that underlie and modulate the relationship between low temperatures and health effects.</p></div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="MEDLINE" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">20833411</PMID><DateCompleted><Year>2010</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>13</Day></DateCompleted><DateRevised><Year>2010</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>25</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1879-1026</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>408</Volume><Issue>23</Issue><PubDate><Year>2010</Year><Month>Nov</Month><Day>01</Day></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>The Science of the total environment</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Sci. Total Environ.</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Mortality from cold waves in Castile--La Mancha, Spain.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>5768-74</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.07.086</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText Label="INTRODUCTION" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">As is known, the effects of extreme temperatures on mortality are characterised by an annual periodicity, with a rise centred in the winter months. The most recent epidemiological studies show that mortality caused by cold waves is, in many cases, comparable to that caused by the severest heat waves. This study sought to quantify the rise in mortality due to extreme cold and the factors that determine the relationship between these variables in Castile-La Mancha (Spain).</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="METHODS" NlmCategory="METHODS">We examined the effect of extreme winter temperature on daily non accidental cause mortality in Castile - La Mancha from 1975 to 2003, for all ages. Quantitative analyses were performed using ARIMA models, with other covariates, such as influenza, pressure trends, relative humidity, and cold wave duration and chronological number.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">There were two mortality peaks: a short-term peak (with a lag of 3 to 7 days); and a longer term peak (of under two weeks). Excess mortality during cold waves was around 10% per degree centigrade below the threshold temperature for all the provinces except Guadalajara, where an increase of only 4.61% was detected. Mortality increased in response to rises in cold-wave duration and relative humidity. Cold waves occurring at the end of the "winter" season caused the greatest mortality.</AbstractText><AbstractText Label="CONCLUSIONS" NlmCategory="CONCLUSIONS">This study confirms that daily mortality in Castile - La Mancha increases during cold waves. Efficient cold-wave prevention plans must therefore be implemented. Such plans should be based on in-depth knowledge of the causes that underlie and modulate the relationship between low temperatures and health effects.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>Copyright © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Montero</LastName><ForeName>J C</ForeName><Initials>JC</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Health Sciences Institute, Castile-La Mancha Regional Health & Social Welfare Authority, Talavera de la Reina, Toledo, Spain. jcmontero@jccm.es</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Mirón</LastName><ForeName>I J</ForeName><Initials>IJ</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Criado-Álvarez</LastName><ForeName>J J</ForeName><Initials>JJ</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Linares</LastName><ForeName>C</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Díaz</LastName><ForeName>J</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2010</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>15</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>Netherlands</Country><MedlineTA>Sci Total Environ</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>0330500</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0048-9697</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><MeshHeadingList><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D003080" MajorTopicYN="N">Cold Temperature</DescriptorName><QualifierName UI="Q000009" MajorTopicYN="Y">adverse effects</QualifierName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D004784" MajorTopicYN="N">Environmental Monitoring</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D006801" MajorTopicYN="N">Humans</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D009026" MajorTopicYN="Y">Mortality</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D012621" MajorTopicYN="Y">Seasons</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D013030" MajorTopicYN="N" Type="Geographic">Spain</DescriptorName></MeshHeading><MeshHeading><DescriptorName UI="D014887" MajorTopicYN="N">Weather</DescriptorName></MeshHeading></MeshHeadingList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2010</Year><Month>06</Month><Day>02</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised"><Year>2010</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>19</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2010</Year><Month>07</Month><Day>30</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2010</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>14</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2010</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>14</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2010</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>14</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">20833411</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="pii">S0048-9697(10)00827-2</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.07.086</ArticleId></ArticleIdList></PubmedData></pubmed><affiliations><list><country><li>Espagne</li></country></list><tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Criado Lvarez, J J" sort="Criado Lvarez, J J" uniqKey="Criado Lvarez J" first="J J" last="Criado-Álvarez">J J Criado-Álvarez</name><name sortKey="Diaz, J" sort="Diaz, J" uniqKey="Diaz J" first="J" last="Díaz">J. Díaz</name><name sortKey="Linares, C" sort="Linares, C" uniqKey="Linares C" first="C" last="Linares">C. Linares</name><name sortKey="Mir N, I J" sort="Mir N, I J" uniqKey="Mir N I" first="I J" last="Mir N">I J Mir N</name></noCountry><country name="Espagne"><noRegion><name sortKey="Montero, J C" sort="Montero, J C" uniqKey="Montero J" first="J C" last="Montero">J C Montero</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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